2025-05-04
Union membership rates have been declining in the last four decades
1983: 20.1% of the American labor force were union members
2024: <10% of American workers belong to a union
Persistent income inequality, inflation, and trade wars
Gini Index has stood above 40% for the last 30 years
YoY inflation has exceeded the Fed’s 2% target since March 2021
Using 2023 estimates, a 145% tariff on China will block Americans from accessing 14.5% of all imported goods
Provides the blueprint for recruiting campaigns: prioritize industries, workers, and states that have low union densities and/or socioeconomic disadvantages
Communicate insights on economic inequality to target audiences through different media
Identifies certain industries’ strike motives after the Great Financial Crisis
Data spans from 2000 to 2024
Labor Force Statistics (CPS) - (BLS, 2015): 5 tables on union member demographics, earnings, industry data, and geography
Select categories (union, non-union, and represented by unions) with tick boxes
Population totals and proportions available, including for the total labor force
Data go back to the 1970s for aggregate counts; 2009 for specific sectors
ILOSTAT Industrial Relations Data (IRdata) - (ILO, n.d.): 6 RShiny apps with international data on trade unions from collective bargaining rates to worker participation in strikes
Industry data rely on 4 UN classifications (ISIC 1-4) specific to different eras. Only aggregate counts are reliable for multi-decade analysis
Uses a three-year average (2021-2023)
Poverty in the US - 2023 (Shrider, 2024): Multiple downloadable tables on poverty by demographic, geography, and different measures
Visualizations will use Supplemental Poverty Measure (SPM) and Official Poverty Rate (Difference Explained by Fox & Burns, 2021)
Retail and Food Service industries are the most prone to wage theft - $6.3M and $35.1M recovered in 2024, respectively (Department of Labor, n.d.)
Health Care and Education have accounted for 26.2% of job growth since February 2020 (Baker and Richwine, 2024), yet low union membership threatens precarious employment
Telecommunications, Transportation, Utilities, and Construction have seen the greatest union membership losses (14.8%, 9.9%, 8.5%, and 7.2%, respectively)
Clerical hospital staff have consistently been one of the lowest paid union employees in the last two decades
Restaurant workers, especially in fast food chains, are still at the bottom of the pay scale even with union membership
Since union members usually earn more than non-union workers, this chart demands the recruitment of Food Service and Health Care workers
Although unionized teaching professionals have modest earnings, massive state and federal budget cuts have contributed to union busting and strikes
In 2015, 29 states provided less funding per student than they were in 2008 (Leachman et al., 2017)
Federal COVID education aid ended in September 2024, leaving 250,000 education jobs at risk (Morabito, 2025)
Extensive job growth in health care is not enough to offset deteriorating patient and provider conditions
Revised industry and occupation tier list for union campaigns
1st: Health Care and Education –> clerical and medical staff; teachers, TAs, and RAs
2nd: Food Service and Retail –> typical store or restaurant workers at major chains (e.g. Amazon, Walmart, Starbucks)
3rd: Telecommunications, Transportation, and Utilities –> field workers (e.g. radio technicians, public transit drivers and mechanics, and line workers)
Three approaches to recruitment:
Needs-based - Tackle high poverty right-to-work states first (most difficult)
Pioneer - Organize in union dues states with <10% union density and right-to-work states with <10% poverty rate (moderate difficulty)
Reconstruction - Campaign in former union dues strongholds like the Great Lakes and New England (least difficult, but hardly changes political or economic landscape)
Recruiting non-union women aged 35-64 years is crucial
Negotiating new union contracts must have an equal pay clause for men and women
Union women working in the same industry and/or occupation as their non-union counterparts should lead the recruitment efforts
9 out of 10 recruits should be full-time workers
Part-time workers who join unions should report if wage theft is prevalent at their workplace
Both workers need stronger employment contracts (severance pay, just-cause dismissals, paid maternal/paternal leave with job protection, etc.)
Stronger employment contracts should be made in states with high poverty and/or low union densities (also dependent on strength of existing labor law)
Again, employers are one piece of the puzzle; lobbying, protesting, and pressuring state and federal politicians is needed
If more time was available for data collection, there could have been charts comparing the prevalence of workplace injuries/fatalities in heavily unionized industries versus less unionized industries.
A correlogram showing how collective bargaining rates, working days lost to strikes, and other industrial relations data affect macroeconomic indicators and vice versa would have been useful
Small multiple cartograms illustrating the proportion of people employed in particular industries across the country would have aided organizing efforts
Baker, D., & Richwine, A. (2024, April 25). Understanding Job Growth Since the Pandemic: Which Sectors are Leading the Way? Center for Economic and Policy Research. https://cepr.net/publications/understanding-job-growth-since-the-pandemic-which-sectors-are-leading-the-way/
Centers for Disease Control. (2023, October 24). Health Workers Face a Mental Health Crisis: Workers Report Harassment, Burnout, and Poor Mental Health; Supportive Workplaces Can Help. https://www.cdc.gov/vitalsigns/health-worker-mental-health/index.html#print
Fox, L. E., & Burns, K. (2021, September 9). What’s the Difference Between the Supplemental and Official Poverty Measures? U.S. Census Bureau. https://www.census.gov/newsroom/blogs/random-samplings/2021/09/difference-between-supplemental-and-official-poverty-measures.html
International Labor Organization. (n.d.). Industrial Relations Data (IRdata): Indicator Catalogue. https://ilostat.ilo.org/methods/concepts-and-definitions/description-industrial-relations-data/#elementor-toc__heading-anchor-6
Leachman, M., Masterson, K., & Figueroa, E. (2017, November 29). A Punishing Decade for School Funding. Center on Budget and Policy Priorities. https://www.cbpp.org/research/a-punishing-decade-for-school-funding
Morabito, C. (2025, April 22). U.S. public schools brace for ‘fiscal cliff’ after surge in hiring meets budget shortfalls. CNBC. https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/22/enrollment-decline-hits-school-funding-triggers-cuts.html
Murthy, V. H. (2022). Addressing Health Worker Burnout: The U.S. Surgeon General’s Advisory on Building a Thriving Health Workforce. U.S. Department of Health of Human Services. https://www.hhs.gov/sites/default/files/health-worker-wellbeing-advisory.pdf
Poydock, M., & Zhang, J. (2024, December 20). More than $1.5 billion in stolen wages recovered for workers between 2021 and 2023. Economic Policy Institute. https://www.epi.org/publication/wage-theft-2021-23/
Shrider, E. (2024, September). Poverty in the United States: 2023. U.S. Census Bureau. https://www.census.gov/data/tables/2024/demo/income-poverty/p60-283.html
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. (2015, September 16). Tables 1.-5. https://www.bls.gov/webapps/legacy/cpslutab1.htm
U.S. Department of Labor. (n.d.). Impact in Fiscal Year 2024. https://www.dol.gov/agencies/whd/data